Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.009042 0.010714 0.012743 0.015428 0.018957 0.023535 0.030106
2025-06-15 0.006807 0.008714 0.011303 0.015219 0.021268 0.030810 0.048367
2025-06-22 0.005435 0.007274 0.009945 0.014333 0.021890 0.035636 0.066630
2025-06-29 0.004749 0.006594 0.009427 0.014436 0.023971 0.043935 0.100232
2025-07-06 0.004332 0.006212 0.009249 0.014993 0.027049 0.056286 0.163631
2025-07-13 0.004088 0.006047 0.009369 0.016097 0.031751 0.076650 0.310647
2025-07-20 0.003808 0.005770 0.009228 0.016636 0.035464 0.098551 0.583812
2025-07-27 0.003516 0.005429 0.008905 0.016692 0.038006 0.120155 1.088949
2025-08-03 0.003277 0.005147 0.008642 0.016809 0.040835 0.148008 2.371679
2025-08-10 0.003009 0.004780 0.008154 0.016273 0.041413 0.166671 4.696619
2025-08-17 0.002737 0.004379 0.007546 0.015308 0.040159 0.173643 7.961704
2025-08-24 0.002524 0.004070 0.007090 0.014641 0.039725 0.186597 17.652717
2025-08-31 0.002399 0.003931 0.007005 0.015031 0.043935 0.251280 1351.932109
2025-09-07 0.002240 0.003712 0.006723 0.014835 0.045886 0.309260 NaN
2025-09-14 0.002053 0.003421 0.006246 0.013980 0.044519 0.328317 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001951 0.003289 0.006108 0.014080 0.047742 0.433763 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001886 0.003224 0.006112 0.014618 0.053759 0.662746 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001854 0.003223 0.006264 0.015684 0.064145 1.275861 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001795 0.003158 0.006251 0.016203 0.072123 2.298971 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001718 0.003049 0.006116 0.016258 0.077142 3.795409 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001650 0.002954 0.006003 0.016370 0.083043 7.147545 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001562 0.002808 0.005742 0.015853 0.083137 10.005852 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001465 0.002634 0.005393 0.014922 0.078738 10.140933 NaN